Handicapping the MLB For A Winning Season
By: Richard Bleuze
Baseball is a unique sport in handicapping. Betting on baseball can be VERY profitable. However, on any given day, the best team can lose to the worst team with a greater frequency than an any other sport.
This is what I do when handicapping a baseball game:
1. Look for profitable situations. In baseball there are certain situations which provide the bettor an advantage. Sometimes the stats line up the right way in which you get a team that has enough of an advantage in nearly every important category. Other times, you can catch a team in the right situation (better teams going for the sweep, fading very poor road teams after a road win, etc).
2. Pay special attention to the bullpens. In today's age when most starters don't last much past the sixth inning, bullpens become the most important factor in baseball betting. Look to bet against an overworked bullpen and to play on teams with solid and rested pens.
3. Focus on the right stats. Baseball can be a game of statistics. The stats that matter most to us are: team won/loss record with starting pitcher, starting pitchers WHIP (walks + hits divided by innings pitched), team batting average verse right and left-handed pitchers, day/night statistics and bullpen earned run average.
4. Avoid games that the Public is on. Vegas is in business because it makes money off losers.
5. Shop the lines. Each book will have different lines because they are trying to balance their action evenly. You have to take advantage of this if you serious about making money on baseball. You MUST find a sports book that offers a dime line in baseball!
7. Check out the parlays. I highly recommend only experienced baseball bettors use parlays. And if you use parlays, only use a 2 team parlay!
The bottom line in baseball is that information and patience pay off. For the patient informed bettor, gambling on baseball games can pay off higher than playing any other sport!
About the Author:
Richard's articles can be found on http://www.24-7wagering.com
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